Conventional political wisdom seems to show that becoming Home Secretary can only end one way, badly. The role dictates that you are not only culpable for your own mistakes but due to the sensitivity of the role, everyone else’s too. One major blunder is all it takes before the media start behaving like a policeman at a G20 convention.
The recent controversies over Damien Green’s arrest, 2 expenses scandals, the Bob Quick blunder and police heavy handedness have lead to major calls for the Home Secretary’s head. The PM and his weakened team will be more than aware of the need to be seen to be regaining control of home affairs and Smith’s P45 must be close to hand.
That said, the sacking of Smith will invite questions over his judgement in appointing her to the role, criticism he can ill afford. With the local and EU elections looming, this is not a decision he will want to make.
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